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Slope of Hope with Tim Knight

From: noreply+feedproxy@google.com <tim@investools.com>
To: david.m.halsey@gmail.com
Received: Saturday, May 30, 2009 01:09 PM
Slope of Hope with Tim Knight

Slope of Hope with Tim Knight
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What's Working, What's Not

Posted: 29 May 2009 01:44 PM PDT

Now that this wonderful month is through, I wanted to share charts of a couple of personal portfolios I manage. This will probably be my last post today (reminder: I've got a Spotlight Session half an hour after the closing bell).

At one end of the spectrum is my cursed 401-K, which keeps rising. I can't stand it! Its strength is representative of the market's refusal to move lower. At this rate, it won't be long before I'm moved this account up ten-fold from where I started. It is made up of a bunch of crummy long positions like CROX.

Kidding aside, obviously I'm happy that it continues to do so well - - - and it's reassuring to know that, with this style of trading, I can still make money in a horrendous environment like this.

The other one, I'm frustrated to pieces with, and it's my big account.

How stupid can I be, putting up personal details like this? Pretty stupid, I guess. But if transparency is what people want, transparency is what they're going to get. This community means a lot to me, and in the midst of all my griping, I want you to know how I'm doing in dollars and cents. Opinions and blathering is one thing. The equity graph is something else. It's all that counts.

Lordy, I hope June does better things for us all. I despise Spring. G'nite.

Short the Sub-Continent?

Posted: 29 May 2009 11:45 AM PDT

I'll be doing a Spotlight at TOS half an hour after the close today.

Here's another chart to consider - - it might have a little left to go, but it's tempting as a short.

Out of Energies

Posted: 29 May 2009 11:37 AM PDT

I saw this trio of comments a couple of posts ago:

Either people are able to follow my watch lists much more closely than I could have guessed, or the above is a snark-fest. Turns out Slopers are so damned clever they've found a way to track changes in my watch lists. Slopers have outdone Sloper. Amazing! And cool!

Anyway.

In point of fact, I did dump out of UNG, OIH, TBT, and DBC early today, and they were all pretty danged close to the top. Here, for instance, is UNG. I've cut 'n' pasted the confirm tickets from my broker's web site (the quantities are different since the buys/sells are done in  multiple chunks, but you get the idea):

 The reason for the sales is mostly psychological - - - in this environment, I am wanting to bag any decent profits I can, since things have been so difficult to trade lately. I still believe, as my post last night indicated, that energy markets probably have good times ahead, my desire to bank some profits trumps my need to allow myself to get stopped-out. So, snark or not, I'm out of all my big positions (except for being short SPY, entered earlier today).

Later today I am going to post my updated equity curves so you can see how I'm doing in general.

Favorite Lottery Longs

Posted: 29 May 2009 10:30 AM PDT

Debt Clock

Posted: 29 May 2009 08:56 AM PDT

A fellow Sloper mentioned this fascinating site to me. Check it out! It's chilling.


Shorts Worth Pondering

Posted: 29 May 2009 08:01 AM PDT

The End is Near

Posted: 29 May 2009 07:13 AM PDT

Well, I have nothing to say this morning, and I can't think of anyone more qualified not to say it. So let's just try to make the most of this last day of this very squirrely month. I'll loop back when I have something cogent to express.